Why are trade deals so controversial?

When the UK left the European Union in January 2020, the UK regained the ability to sign its own trade agreements. Since Brexit, the UK has signed deals with Australia, New Zealand and the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), an Asia-Pacific trade bloc of 11 countries. Parliament has been scrutinising the terms of the UK’s accession to the CPTPP since the deal was signed in July 2023, and substantial debate has been aroused. A similar situation occurred with the UK’s trade deal with Australia as it was negotiated and ratified through 2022 and 2023. Economists and politicians are confident that reducing barriers to trade is beneficial for a country’s economy,[1] which leaves the question of why, in practice, are trade deals often so controversial?

Effects on businesses

The first difficulty is that trade deals, much like most economic policies, have a disproportionate impact on some sectors. While a trade deal, such as CPTPP, may benefit the economy as a whole, increasing GDP and reducing prices for consumers, some sectors will be left worse off. In the case of the Australia-UK Free Trade Agreement, the agricultural sector was particularly worried about the impact. The Government’s impact assessment projects that the Australia-UK Free Trade Deal will increase GDP by £2.3 billion in the long run[2]. However, the National Farmers’ union criticised the deal for opening up the UK to Australian produce, whether or not it was produced to the same standards required of UK farmers.[3] Similarly, the House of Lords International Agreements Committee, in their scrutiny of the CPTPP, noted that animal welfare standards were not protected in the deal, and this could lead to lower production costs undercutting UK farmers.[4] This is particularly pertinent as the overall benefit of these two trade deals to the UK economy is relatively small, with the Australia trade deal, for example, only projected to be valued at a 0.08% increase in GDP.[5]

Political issues

There are also several political issues at play. Several stakeholders criticised the Australia FTA as being a poor deal for the UK. George Eustice MP, who as Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs played a role in the trade negotiations, criticised the deal, saying that the UK ‘gave away far too much for far too little in return.’[6] There is some concern that the rush to conclude trade agreements in the aftermath of Brexit has led to deals that are good for the British economy, but less beneficial than they could have been. Eustice in particular accused Liz Truss, then International Trade Secretary, of setting an ‘arbitrary target’ to conclude the bulk of the deal by the 2021 G7 Summit, which put the UK on the ‘back foot’.

Non-economic factors

There is also concern that the provisions of trade deals, including the CPTPP, may have negative effects on non-economic areas of policy. In particular, the International Agreements Committee raised a concern that the Investor-State Dispute Settlement measures in the CPTPP may result in regulations in areas such as health, equality and labour relations being challenged in the courts if they negatively affect foreign direct investment.[7] Controversy over trade deals may therefore reflect the public’s or politicians’ desire to achieve other priorities, aside from growing the economy.

BREVIA CONSULTING PROVIDES STRAIGHTFORWARD POLITICAL ADVICE AND SUPPORT TO BUSINESSES AND ORGANISATIONS

 

Discover how Brevia can help you and your organisation by contacting the Brevia Team on 020 7091 1650 or contact@brevia.co.uk

[1] International Monetary Fund, World trade can still drive prosperity, June 2023, link

[2] Department for International Trade, Impact assessment of the Free Trade Agreement between the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Australia, 16 December 2021, p.5, link

[3] NFU, TAC report on Australia trade deal – NFU response, 13 May 2022, link

[4] International Agreements Committee, Scrutiny of international agreements: UK accession to the Comprehensive Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership, 27 February 2024, p.12, link

[5] Department for International Trade, Impact assessment of the Free Trade Agreement between the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Australia, 16 December 2021, p.5, link

[6] George Eustice MP, Hansard, 14 November 2022, Col. 424, link

[7] International Agreements Committee, Scrutiny of international agreements: UK accession to the Comprehensive Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership, 27 February 2024, p.18, link

LATEST NEWS

Energy

Government AI Action Plan & AI Growth Zones: Where does energy tie into this?

The recently published AI Opportunities Action Plan sets an ambitious vision to position the UK as a global AI leader. Central to this strategy are AI Growth Zones which will support data centres by streamlining the planning processes and addressing energy connectivity challenges. With initiatives like the AI Energy Council and advanced energy solutions such as Small Modular Reactors proposed, the plan aims to address the critical link between AI infrastructure and energy demands.

Read More »
Energy

Dermot Nolan joins Brevia Energy

Brevia Energy welcomes Dermot Nolan, former Ofgem CEO, to its Advisory Board, bringing unparalleled expertise in energy policy, regulation, and navigating political risk.

Read More »
Energy

Energy Policy Progress: Where are we with Nuclear?

Since taking office in July 2024, the Labour Government has made notable progress in energy policy, including launching Great British Energy and accelerating the development of clean energy infrastructure. However, significant gaps remain in areas critical to achieving the UK’s long-term energy objectives. This article explores the challenges and opportunities within Labour’s nuclear energy policy, emphasising the need for greater clarity and decisive action.

Read More »